There’s good news, there’s bad news
For the fourth year the folks at Visual Capitalist have collated a Prediction Consensus (now part of their more comprehensive 2023 Global Forecast Series). And, recognizing that situations such as COVID-19 and the invasion of Ukraine can flair up with knock-on effects on the whole system, and acknowledging that experts are just as susceptible to hype as the rest of us, they asked ChatGPT to write the intro to this article:
"Humans have a natural curiosity about what the future holds, and the desire to predict the future may stem from this curiosity. In addition, the ability to predict the future can provide a sense of control and security, as individuals may feel that they can prepare for even influence future events. Moreover, prediction the future can also be a way for people to make sense of the present and understand the forces at play in the world around them. Finally, the desire to predict the future may be driven by practical considerations, such as the need to make decisions about investments, career choices, and other important life decisions." - ChatGPT
Book Excerpt: Prediction Consensus: What the Experts See Coming in 2023